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Description
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto by December 31, 2026 requires definitive public evidence. Yes resolves when verified documentation, blockchain proof, or equivalent conclusive proof publicly attributes Satoshi to Adam Back; No otherwise. The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting by the stated deadline.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.