Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31, 2026. A Yes resolves if any unmanned Blue Origin rocket explodes during a launch, test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation before the October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. Explosions include destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent. Settlement relies on Blue Origin's official information, or a credible reporting consensus if needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?Largest Company end of June?Which company has best AI model end of June?SpaceX IPO Closing Market CapWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?Largest Company end of December 2026?SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)Anthropic IPO Closing Market CapWhat will SpaceX's public ticker be?Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.