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Description
Stolen KitKats: Nestlé reports 12 tons taken in transit from Central Italy to Poland, with recovery possible. The market resolves to Yes if any KitKat bar is physically recovered by Nestlé, a Nestlé affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement body by April 5, 11:59 PM ET; a No otherwise. Recovery must be physical control of the stolen bars; location confirmation alone does not count.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Nestle confirmed on March 29 that 12 tons of KitKat bars were stolen while in transit from Central Italy to Poland (see: https://x.com/KITKAT/status/2038313618509377852). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any KitKat bar stolen during this incident is recovered by Nestle, a Nestle affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement authority by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying recovery requires physical control of the stolen KitKats by Nestle, a Nestle affiliate, or a relevant government or law enforcement authority. Confirmation of the location of a stolen KitKat, without physical recovery, will not count. The confirmed recovery of any amount of the stolen KitKats, including a single bar, will be sufficient for this market to resolve to “Yes”. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Nestle, any recovering government or law enforcement authority, and a consensus of credible reporting.