Description
Baden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections take place on March 8, 2026 to elect the Landtag. The market resolves with the party or coalition that finishes second in seats after applying head-to-head ranking rules: seat count, then total valid votes, then alphabetical order by abbreviation, using credible reporting or the official Statistik BW results as the final source. If elections do not occur by July 31, 2026, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AfD | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SPD | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Greens | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Left | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FDP | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BSW | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Z | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg are scheduled to take place in Baden-Württemberg on March 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Baden-Württemberg (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Baden-Württemberg election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Baden-Württemberg Statistischen Landesamt (https://www.statistik-bw.de/staat-und-gesellschaft/wahlen/landtagswahl).