Description
Bank of Canada policy decisions are tracked for April 2026. The market resolves to the exact change in the overnight rate target announced after the April 29, 2026 meeting, rounded to the nearest 25 basis points if needed. If no statement is released by the end date, the market settles to the "No change" bracket. Resolution relies on the Bank of Canada’s policy statement and calendar data.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ bps decrease | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps decrease | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No change | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Increase | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.