Description
CA-12 House Election in 2026 will determine which party wins the district seat in the U.S. House. The winner’s party is decided by the ballot-listed or caucus-identified affiliation at the time all California-12 results are conclusively called by credible sources. If a candidate’s affiliation is ambiguous, the party is inferred from the caucus intent declared most recently before final results are confirmed. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with final government results from the Federal Election Commission as a resolution source if needed.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Democratic Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).