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Description
CA-49 House Election Winner will resolve to the party of the candidate who wins California's 49th Congressional District seat in the 2026 midterm elections on November 4, 2026. Party assignment follows the candidate’s ballot-listed or caucus-affiliated identity at the time all results are conclusively called by credible sources; if affiliation is unclear, the party is inferred from the candidate's expressed caucus intent most recently disclosed. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting, and if ambiguity remains, official Federal Election Commission results determine the outcome.
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Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Democratic Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).