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Description
Colorado's Democratic primary on June 30, 2026 determines the margin of victory between the top two candidates. The margin equals the absolute difference in their valid-vote percentages, calculated from each candidate's share of total valid votes. If the reported margin falls exactly between brackets, the higher bracket applies. If candidates tie and both are listed, the tie breaks by the alphabetically first last name; if only one listed, that candidate's lowest bracket applies. If neither listed, the market resolves to Other. Settles from official Colorado Secretary of State results, with credible reporting as a fallback; if results are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
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Related events
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028CO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerCO-03 Democratic Primary WinnerColorado Governor Democratic Primary WinnerColorado Democratic Senate Primary WinnerCO-08 Democratic Primary WinnerColorado Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryColorado Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiros 20%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kiros 15–20% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kiros 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kiros 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kiros <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeGette <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeGette 5%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.