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Description
Colombia’s June 21, 2026 presidential runoff features margins of victory between the top two candidates. The market resolves by the absolute percentage difference of valid votes for first and second place, measured as share of total valid votes. If the reported margin sits on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies; ties resolve to the alphabetically earlier listed name when both appear, otherwise to the listed candidate or to Other. Official results from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil drive settlement, with credible-reporting consensus as a fallback. If the count is not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| de la Espriella 15%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| de la Espriella 10-15% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| de la Espriella 5-10% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| de la Espriella 0-5% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cepeda Castro Win | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.