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Description
Critical Discord Incident by June 30? is a set of yes/no markets about whether Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Incidents may include outages or issues Discord marks as Critical, with revisions to impact classifications considered if published within the window. If an incident is ongoing at resolution, the market remains open until the first official classification is published, then settles accordingly. Resolution sources include Discord official status pages or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.