Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30? markets assess whether Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on that date. A qualifying detention includes custody, handcuffs, booking, house arrest, or electronic monitoring by any official law enforcement body. Non-qualifying scenarios include unexecuted warrants, in-court interviews without arrest, or indictments without arrest. Settlement relies on official government announcements or credible reporting consensus when needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?James Comey in jail by June 30?Steve Bannon exonerated by...?Maduro Prison Time?Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?Maduro guilty of all counts?ICE shooter charged by March 31?How many SCOTUS justices rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if E. Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.