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Description
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? is a binary market asking whether Bethesda Softworks or Microsoft officially release the game in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Release is defined as publicly available for purchase or download in the US, with early access or beta not counting; console-wide releases count if only some consoles are affected. Settlement follows the official release announcement from Bethesda or Microsoft.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.