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Description
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final features Belgium, Croatia, Estonia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Israel, Lithuania, Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Serbia, and Sweden competing for a place in the final on May 12, 2026. Each country’s market resolves to Yes if its Eurovision 2026 contestant advances from the First Semi-Final according to the official results; if advancement becomes impossible or if no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies on Eurovision’s official announcements and live semi-final footage, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.