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Description
French Presidential Election 2027 run announcements: list of potential candidates includes Éric Zemmour, Jordan Bardella, Michel Barnier, Valérie Pécresse, Gabriel Attal, Élisabeth Borne, Yaël Braun-Pivet, Jean Castex, Gérald Darmanin, Sébastien Lecornu, François Bayrou, Bernard Cazeneuve, Carole Delga, Olivier Faure, François Hollande, Raphaël Glucksmann, Manuel Bompard, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Mathilde Panot, Dominique de Villepin, Marine Le Pen. A market will resolve to Yes if any listed individual publicly declares their candidacy for the 2027 election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; statements only about considering or discussing a run do not count. Resolution relies on official statements from the individual or credible reporting consensus.
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21
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Éric Zemmour | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jordan Bardella | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michel Barnier | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Valérie Pécresse | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gabriel Attal | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Élisabeth Borne | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jean Castex | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gérald Darmanin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sébastien Lecornu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| François Bayrou | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carole Delga | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Olivier Faure | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| François Hollande | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Manuel Bompard | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mathilde Panot | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dominique de Villepin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marine Le Pen | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.