Price history
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Description
GPT-5.6 release date uncertainty is tested by markets tracking OpenAI's public availability. If OpenAI makes GPT-5.6 broadly accessible by the specified ET date, settlement is Yes; otherwise No. The market list includes multiple date-based targets allowing for public availability announcements or credible reporting to resolve Yes. Includes variants in GPT-5.x line that are direct successors to GPT-5.5, excluding GPT-6-era labels.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
20
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 10 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 9 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.