Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Insurrection Act invoked by...? is a prediction on whether Donald Trump will officially invoke the Insurrection Act of 1807 by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Invoke means a formal presidential announcement authorizing active-duty military forces or federalized National Guard to respond to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion, with resolution based on credible reporting consensus.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will Tim Walz resign by...?Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?ICE shooter charged by March 31?Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan OmarDon Lemon charges dropped?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.