Price history
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Description
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by the specified date. The Yes outcome requires Israel announcing that all ground forces have withdrawn from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the deadline. An announced planned withdrawal does not qualify; only an actual withdrawal announcement triggers Yes, with government statements or credible reporting confirming withdrawal as the basis for settlement.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.