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Description
Iván Cepeda vote share in the first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election. The May 31 vote sets Cepeda’s valid-vote share, with a June 21 runoff if needed; recounts pause resolution until totals are official. Results resolve strictly by Cepeda’s share of valid votes in the first round; if totals are unknown by December 31, 2026 ET, the market settles to the lowest bracket. If a reported value sits between brackets, the higher bracket applies.
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Rules
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.