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Description
Marine Le Pen wearing a court-ordered electronic monitoring device before the French presidential election would settle this market Yes. The market covers any time from creation through April 17, 2027, 11:59 PM Paris time, and requires a legally imposed monitor rather than consumer wearables. Settlement follows a credible-reporting consensus that a court-ordered device is being worn by Le Pen within the stated window.
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality. Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.