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Description
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? is defined by Paris, Marseille, and Lyon municipal contests scheduled for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Emmanuel Grégoire, Benoît Payan, and Grégory Doucet each win their respective mayoral races; a single non-win results in No. If by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET results remain definitively unknown for any of the three contests, the market resolves to No. Settlement follows the results reported by credible outlets or, in case of ambiguity, the official results from the French Ministry of the Interior (elections.interieur.gouv.fr).
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Emmanuel Grégoire - Marseille: Benoît Payan - Lyon: Grégory Doucet If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).