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Description
New Zealand’s next Prime Minister markets follow the 2026 general election held on November 7, 2026. The winner is the individual officially appointed by the Governor-General to serve as Prime Minister; interim or caretaker leaders do not count. If no Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Settlement relies on official government announcements, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Luxon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chris Hipkins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Winston Peters | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicola Willis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chlöe Swarbrick | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Seymour | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carmel Sepuloni | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.