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Description
New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, 2026 will determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates. The margin is the absolute percentage difference of valid votes between first and second place, calculated from their share of total valid votes. If the margin falls exactly between brackets, the higher bracket applies. If the top two vote-getters tie and are both listed, the tie resolves to the lower bracket of the alphabetically earlier surname; if only one is listed, that candidate determines the bracket; if neither is listed, it resolves to Other. Official results from the New York State Board of Elections settle the market, with a credible reporting consensus as a fallback. If results are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lasher 15%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lasher 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lasher 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lasher <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bores 5%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bores <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Schlossberg Wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.