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Description
Barack Obama and Michelle Obama divorce outcomes are being tracked with a Yes if either announces their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The Yes resolution relies on a direct statement from the Obamas or their representatives; a credible media consensus may also decide if needed. If no such announcement occurs by the deadline, the outcome resolves to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama divorce before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.