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Description
Ohio Governor Republican Primary margin-of-victory markets cover the May 5, 2026 Ohio primary. The market resolves by the absolute margin between first and second place among top two vote-getters, using official counts and a defined bracket system. If the margin falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If a tie occurs among listed candidates, resolution follows alphabetical order rules; if ties involve unlisted candidates, the market resolves to the lowest applicable bracket or to Other when all tied are unlisted. Settlement relies on the official vote count and a consensus of official sources, including the Ohio Republican Party; if results aren’t definitive by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
7
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramaswamy <30% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ramaswamy 30-40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ramaswamy 40-50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ramaswamy 50-60% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ramaswamy 60-70% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ramaswamy 70%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.