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Description
Paloma Valencia vote share in the first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election is determined by Paloma Valencia’s proportion of valid votes on May 31, 2026. The market resolves to the bracket that contains her reported share, with ties resolved to the higher bracket, and remains open through any recount until totals are official. If results are not known by December 31, 2026 ET, the market settles to the lowest bracket present in the range set.
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Rules
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.