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Description
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? is a clemency-focused market that resolves Yes if the President of Peru formally grants clemency by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PET). A qualifying pardon, commutation, grace, or humanitarian pardon must relieve Castillo from criminal liability or penalties, and the issuance must be official. Rulings or revocations after the grant do not affect the Yes outcome, while lack of a presidential clemency by the deadline resolves to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case. A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid. Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.