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Description
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? The market covers whether the Supreme Court will issue a ruling or order that invalidates state or local bans on AR-15s or similar semiautomatic rifles by August 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on official Court information, with credible reporting as a fallback, and excludes other cases or legislation not addressing the bans directly.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in either or both of Grant v. Higgins and Viramontes v. Cook County, issues a ruling or order with the effect of invalidating state or local bans on the ownership or possession of AR-15 or similar semiautomatic rifles, by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If both of the referenced cases are permanently removed from the court's docket without the issuance of such a ruling or order, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in these cases. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.