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Description
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner markets cover the Somaliland House of Representatives elections scheduled for late March 2026. The winner is the party that secures the greatest number of seats. If no election occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No election before 2027. If an election occurs but results are not definitively known by that date, the market remains open until certified results are released; if still uncertain by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to Other. If multiple parties tie on seats, the tie-breaker is the greater number of valid votes, with alphabetical ordering breaking remaining ties. Resolution relies on the Somaliland National Electoral Commission's official results or credible reporting consensus when available.
Event stats
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31
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No election before 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kulmiye | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Waddani | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Justice and Welfare (UCID) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).