Description
South Carolina Governor Republican primary runoff margin of victory is determined by the absolute gap in valid votes between the top two finishers in the June 23, 2026 runoff. The margin divides into brackets, using official SC Election Commission totals and credible reporting if needed; if the leading two are tied, the tie-breaker selects the alphabetically first last name among listed candidates; otherwise the bracket for the listed candidate applies. Results settle only when the official count is released and counts are made official by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a recount extends the open status until finalization.
Event stats
Market highlights
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evette 15%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Evette 10–15% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Evette 5–10% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Evette <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wilson <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wilson 5–10% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wilson 10–15% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wilson 15%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.