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Description
South Carolina Senate Republican Primary in 2026 focuses on the first-round margin of victory between the top two candidates. The June 9, 2026 primary yields an official count to determine brackets of margin, with runoff on June 23, 2026 if needed. If the count is not final by November 30, 2026, the market resolves to Other; results are sourced from the South Carolina Election Commission or credible reporting in the event of consensus.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
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24h gainer
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Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
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Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham 50%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graham 40–50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graham 30–40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graham 20–30% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graham 10–20% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graham <10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lynch Wins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.