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Description
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5? examines the S&P 500 ETF’s Close on May 5, 2026 relative to the most recent prior trading day. The market resolves to Up if the May 5 Close exceeds the prior trading day Close, Down if it is lower, and 50-50 if equal or if SPY did not trade during regular sessions. Closing prices use Pyth’s 1-minute candle Close for the final regular-session minute, with split-adjusted values as displayed by Pyth when applicable.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
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24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 6?S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 17?Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 5?Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 5?Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5? | Up | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 5, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 5, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).