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Description
Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election markets track which political party wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 contest, held in March–May 2026. Settles on the party with the most seats; if results are not definitively known by Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. In case of a seat tie, the winner is the party with more statewide valid votes; if still tied, the tie-breaker is the party whose abbreviation comes first alphabetically. Resolution ultimately depends on credible reporting and, if needed, official Election Commission of India results, prioritizing the ECIs official reports with the most Assembly Constituencies counted when discrepancies exist.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AITC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BJP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BSP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CPI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CPI(M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| INC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NCP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NPEP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ADMK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DMDK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DMK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TVK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes statewide. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).