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Description
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if the Trump administration declassifies any extraterrestrial life or unexplained aerial phenomena files not previously public by 11:59 PM ET on that date; otherwise, it resolves No. Declassifications announced but not implemented within the window do not count; resolution relies on official U.S. government information or a credible reporting consensus.
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4
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.