Description
Trump goes to space in 2026? is a binary market asking whether Donald Trump will be aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the 50-mile U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting confirming his presence in flight that achieves the threshold.
Event stats
Market highlights
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.