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Description
Union Pacific (UNP) quarterly earnings in focus. The market covers the next GAAP EPS release, with a Yes outcome if GAAP EPS exceeds $3.16 as reported in official earnings documents, or as adjusted by the rules if needed. If earnings are released without a GAAP figure, resolution follows SeekingAlpha’s GAAP EPS figure, or No if SeekingAlpha is not published within 96 hours of market close. If earnings are not released within 45 days of July 23, 2026, resolution defaults to No. IFRS/GAAP EPS treated as GAAP wherever applicable; rounding occurs to the cent; ADR/ADS shares follow US listings rules.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
As of market creation, Union Pacific is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Union Pacific's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.16 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union Pacific reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.16 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Union Pacific releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.