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Description
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?: A Yes if U.S. government personnel directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Only direct ground involvement by U.S. personnel qualifies; advisory, surveillance, or support roles do not. The primary resolution source is official U.S. government statements, with credible reporting as a fallback in cases of consensus.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.