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Description
US and Cuba diplomatic meeting outcomes hinge on a in-person meeting between official representatives. A meeting must occur between creation and the date window (June 30, 2026 or July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET) and be publicly acknowledged by the governments or corroborated by credible reporting. Indirect mediation or mere greetings do not count, and remote talks are excluded. Resolution sources include official government statements and credible reporting consensus.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.