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Description
Elon post-activity window runs July 6–12, 2026. The Yes outcome resolves if @elonmusk posts the specified term within that week on his verified X account, counting quoted or reply posts and text in images when clearly spelled and complete. Post formats that omit the term or alter its form do not count for Yes; No resolves otherwise.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
17
Market highlights
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Related events
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 3)What will Elon post this week? (June 29 - July 5)What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (July 8)What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (January 23)What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?Largest Company end of July?Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?Largest Company end of December 2026?Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Football | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Soccer | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| President | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tesla | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Neuralink | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Never | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Always | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Video game / Videogame | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran / Iranian | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| IPO | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Claude | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChatGPT | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Team | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Texas | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.