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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 40+ times | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 20+ times | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Task Force 20+ times | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good day | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Groupthink / Group think | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Independence | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Echo of History | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Supply shock | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| North Star | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Predecessor | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bet / Betting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trump | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balance Sheet | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Central Bank | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Productivity | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shock | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Oil | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Uncertainty | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Restrictive | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Projection | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| President | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dollar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anchor / Anchored | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recession | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Consumer Confidence | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tax | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dissent | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pandemic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renovation | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good Afternoon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf