Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Price history for this event is not available yet.
Description
What will the New York Times front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 – May 10) Headlines will be drawn from front-page text across the NYT during the window, with resolution based on whether the listed term appears in any primary, bolded or banner headline on the front page. The Yes case occurs if any of the listed terms appears as a primary headline, sub-headline, or banner headline in the NYT front page during May 4–10, 2026; otherwise the market resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
26
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD / Vance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MAGA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Secret | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Oil | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Street | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prediction | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epstein | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Court | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Congress | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| UFO / Alien | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tariff | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Intelligence | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Center | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pentagon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Beijing | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballroom | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| California | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gunman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fed | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gay | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between May 4 and May 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, usage of that hyphenated compound qualifies. (E.g. if the listed term is NATO, pro-NATO and anti-NATO qualify.) The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/