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Description
What will Donald Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping on May 14–15, 2026? If Trump utters the listed term during appearances involving both leaders on those dates, the Yes market resolves to Yes; otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution relies on video of the events, with AI audio or video not counting, and only remarks broadcast or streamed live count. If the visit is definitively cancelled or not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Event stats
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Markets
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Market highlights
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covid / Pandemic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Japan / Korea | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Friend of mine | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tariff | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ship / Chip | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Six Seven | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Strait / Hormuz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Taiwan / Tibet | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hong Kong | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cookie | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mao | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peng | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tanker | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sleepy Joe | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kamikaze | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| IQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nuclear | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shanghai | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Soybean | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tough Negotiator | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Forbidden City | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Great Wall | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| North Korea / Kim Jong Un | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fentanyl | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TikTok | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rare earth | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.