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Description
The question asks which listed companies the U.S. government will take an ownership stake in by December 31, 2026. Settlements occur if a federal announcement confirms a qualifying acquisition or a binding agreement; non-qualifying speculation does not count. The event resolves to Yes when a formal, official government action or binding deal is announced; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
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Liquidity
Markets
20
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Boeing | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TSMC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Palantir | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nvidia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GlobalFoundries | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lockheed Martin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TikTok US / Bytedance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Freeport-McMoRan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| IonQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Micron | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D-Wave | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anthropic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rigetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eli Lilly | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pfizer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Samsung Electronics | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpaceX | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Unusual Machines | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.