Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Which company owns the model with the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard as of April 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET? The ranking is determined by the Text Arena | Overall scores, checked on lmarena.ai, with ties broken by alphabetical company name. The market resolves to the first-place company on that leaderboard snapshot, or to an alternate resolution source if the leaderboard is unavailable at check time.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
27
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| OpenAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company M | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.