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Description
Countries listed as potential naturalizers—Israel, China, Russia, and Sudan—face a yes/no citizenship outcome for Eric Adams by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if any listed country actually grants citizenship to Adams by the deadline; statements of intent alone do not settle Yes. Honorary citizenship counts toward Yes, and credible reporting or country representatives can determine the outcome when appropriate.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.