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Description
Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? A prediction on whether listed individuals are confirmed as ministers in the UK Cabinet formed after Andy Burnham is appointed Prime Minister. Resolution follows cabinet appointments between the initial PM designation and seven days later at 11:59 PM UTC, with continuations only if officially announced or credibly reported. Interims do not count.
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29
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wes Streeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Catherine West | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Keir Starmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rachel Reeves | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Lammy | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yvette Cooper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shabana Mahmood | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pat McFadden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Darren Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bridget Phillipson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ed Miliband | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steve Reed | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Nandy | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| James Murray | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Jarvis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heidi Alexander | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jonathan Reynolds | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Liz Kendall | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peter Kyle | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hilary Benn | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ian Murray | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jo Stevens | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alan Campbell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacqui Smith | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patrick Vallance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Healey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jess Phillips | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Louise Haigh | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.