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Description
Spider-Man: Brand New Day premieres on July 31, 2026. This event tracks which characters die on screen in the film, with yes/no outcomes for each listed character based on whether their death is shown or clearly stated by the end of the film’s theatrical release. Deaths count even if revived later, and deaths in any depicted timeline or dimension count; ambivalent fates do not resolve the market. If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
7
Market highlights
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24h gainer
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Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Parker (Tom Holland) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle "MJ" Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ned Leeds | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Frank Castle | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bruce Banner | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mac Gargan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lonnie Lincoln | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".