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Description
Anthropic and Bitcoin intersect in a valuation cross: if Bitcoin’s market cap surpasses Anthropic’s public valuation at any time before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Yes outcome resolves; otherwise, No. Bitcoin data draws from CoinGecko, with CoinMarketCap as fallback, while Anthropic valuations come from official communications or credible reporting consensus when disclosed.
Event stats
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Market highlights
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.