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Description
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026? This event resolves to Yes only if Argentina grants Peter Thiel citizenship by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Statements of intent or vague promises do not count; only an actual citizenship grant qualifies. Honorary citizenship counts toward a Yes, and resolution may rely on Argentina or Thiel representatives or a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina makes Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Peter Thiel indicating intent to seek citizenship from Argentina will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from Argentina or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Peter Thiel a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only Argentina's actually making Peter Thiel a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of Argentina or Peter Thiel. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.