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Elon Musk faces a yes-no decision on formal political party registration in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Settlement occurs when a state or federal election authority records the registration and credible media outlets confirm reporting of the filing.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.