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Description
Sam Altman acquiring equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026 is the core question. The market resolves to Yes if Altman formally takes ownership through shares, stock options, or any other ownership interest by 11:59 PM ET on that date; otherwise, it resolves to No. Indirect pre-existing holdings via Y Combinator or related funds do not count toward the resolution.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.